Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001615 0.001680 0.001748 0.001823 0.001904 0.001989 0.002087
2025-07-27 0.001521 0.001616 0.001718 0.001837 0.001971 0.002121 0.002302
2025-08-03 0.001437 0.001550 0.001675 0.001825 0.002002 0.002207 0.002469
2025-08-10 0.001387 0.001515 0.001660 0.001839 0.002058 0.002324 0.002679
2025-08-17 0.001334 0.001471 0.001629 0.001829 0.002082 0.002398 0.002840
2025-08-24 0.001283 0.001426 0.001594 0.001810 0.002089 0.002449 0.002973
2025-08-31 0.001266 0.001419 0.001603 0.001844 0.002165 0.002594 0.003251
2025-09-07 0.001239 0.001398 0.001592 0.001852 0.002205 0.002692 0.003472
2025-09-14 0.001203 0.001364 0.001563 0.001833 0.002206 0.002734 0.003610
2025-09-21 0.001166 0.001328 0.001529 0.001805 0.002193 0.002753 0.003712
2025-09-28 0.001137 0.001301 0.001506 0.001790 0.002195 0.002794 0.003855
2025-10-05 0.001093 0.001253 0.001453 0.001732 0.002132 0.002729 0.003803
2025-10-12 0.001072 0.001233 0.001437 0.001726 0.002146 0.002788 0.003987
2025-10-19 0.001058 0.001223 0.001434 0.001736 0.002185 0.002890 0.004272
2025-10-26 0.001037 0.001203 0.001416 0.001725 0.002190 0.002935 0.004452
2025-11-02 0.001025 0.001195 0.001415 0.001737 0.002232 0.003048 0.004798
2025-11-09 0.001007 0.001178 0.001400 0.001728 0.002240 0.003100 0.005022
2025-11-16 0.000987 0.001157 0.001380 0.001711 0.002233 0.003126 0.005188
2025-11-23 0.000985 0.001160 0.001392 0.001742 0.002305 0.003305 0.005790
2025-11-30 0.000975 0.001151 0.001388 0.001749 0.002338 0.003412 0.006242
2025-12-07 0.000957 0.001133 0.001369 0.001731 0.002329 0.003436 0.006458
2025-12-14 0.000938 0.001112 0.001346 0.001707 0.002306 0.003429 0.006579
2025-12-21 0.000923 0.001096 0.001330 0.001693 0.002301 0.003459 0.006828